Steps:
start game, select local, new game, training, crash
Installed latest JRE, installed latest
openAL.
Sound works on startup page.
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Okay, I installed openAL but it kept crashing. So, I copied the (just-installed) openAL32.dll from windows\system32 into the mule\data\lib and now it no longer crashes on new games!
So, false alarm. But I'm posting anyway, in case it's happening to someone else. The hs_error file is below, so if yours is crashing and looks like that, try what I did above.